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Red40
510914.6
886611.2
808014.7
Blue41
634021.7
58485.8
671210.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39351020305060704041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.70.4
12.012.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 7.0
21.70.6
15.716.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
14.60.4
13.413.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
red by 3.7
6712
#19
10.90.6
10.310.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Third
8866
#16
11.20.4
9.29.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 5.3
5848
#35
5.81.0
5.86.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed