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Red29
17954.5
418910.1
97707.1
Blue19
44596.8
81008.7
68875.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122051015253035402919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#26
10.10.4
9.28.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
8100
#22
8.70.5
6.86.3
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Second
9770
#34
7.10.4
6.76.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.1
red by 0.3
4459
#21
6.80.7
6.75.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Third
1795
#23
4.50.4
3.83.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 0.8
6887
#38
5.30.5
6.05.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed