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Red61
8327.7
808014.7
745123.9
Blue37
529317.3
30917.7
590012.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473502060801006137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.0
21.521.4
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 6.5
17.30.2
15.415.6
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
14.70.0
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 2.1
5900
#14
12.60.2
12.112.3
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
832
#20
7.70.0
7.57.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 0.1
3091
#28
7.70.2
6.16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed