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Red42
45163.4
56514.4
402613.9
Blue21
10024.6
87615.5
671210.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221030405060704221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#10
13.91.3
8.39.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 3.0
6712
#19
10.90.2
10.911.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Second
5651
#33
4.41.3
2.94.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 1.1
8761
#36
5.50.2
3.73.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
4516
#32
3.41.3
0.82.1
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
blue by 1.2
1002
#37
4.60.2
3.43.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed