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Red54
363512.6
926017.2
381512.4
Blue38
58485.8
418824.6
88657.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060805438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#18
17.20.4
15.115.5
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 7.4
24.60.3
22.422.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
Second
3635
#12
12.60.4
13.013.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 5.0
8865
#29
7.60.3
5.96.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Third
3815
#13
12.40.3
11.611.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
red by 6.6
5848
#35
5.80.4
5.66.0
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed