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Red28
44596.8
17954.5
510914.6
Blue25
670513.4
90574.5
886611.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431010204050602825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.4
13.013.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
red by 1.2
6705
#17
13.40.1
12.412.2
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
Second
4459
#21
6.80.5
5.96.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 4.3
8866
#16
11.20.1
10.410.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Third
1795
#23
4.50.4
3.43.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Level
9057
#25
4.50.1
4.24.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed