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Red41
141419.1
694410.5
95825.9
Blue20
97707.1
95228.8
95007.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35190103040506070804120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.1
17.317.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
red by 10.3
9522
#31
8.80.1
7.67.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Second
6944
#11
10.50.1
7.67.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
red by 2.9
9500
#24
7.60.1
5.15.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
9582
#30
5.90.1
5.25.2
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 1.2
9770
#34
7.10.1
6.36.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed