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Red21
68875.3
8327.7
363512.6
Blue55
85775.3
87615.5
745123.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293201020405060702155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#12
12.60.8
13.412.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 11.3
23.91.1
21.422.6
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
832
#20
7.70.7
7.56.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 2.2
8761
#36
5.51.1
3.95.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
6887
#38
5.30.7
5.54.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Level
8577
#27
5.31.1
3.14.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed