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Red44
44596.8
418824.6
10024.6
Blue70
402613.9
90574.5
808014.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060801004470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.6
22.723.3
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
red by 9.9
14.71.3
12.413.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Second
4459
#21
6.80.8
6.47.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 7.1
4026
#10
13.91.3
9.610.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
1002
#37
4.60.6
3.64.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
red by 0.1
9057
#25
4.51.3
4.15.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed