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Red33
97707.1
671210.9
590012.6
Blue46
95007.6
529317.3
510914.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323902060803346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#14
12.60.1
12.312.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
blue by 4.7
17.30.7
15.616.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Second
6712
#19
10.90.1
11.111.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 3.7
14.60.7
13.414.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Third
9770
#34
7.10.1
6.36.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 0.5
9500
#24
7.60.7
5.25.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed