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Red39
418910.1
88657.6
926017.2
Blue52
634021.7
17954.5
694410.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35320102040506070803952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#18
17.20.7
15.516.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 4.5
21.71.5
17.619.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
4189
#26
10.10.5
9.39.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
blue by 0.4
6944
#11
10.51.5
7.79.2
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
Third
8865
#29
7.60.5
6.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
red by 3.1
1795
#23
4.51.5
3.85.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed