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Red60
297440.2
670513.4
58485.8
Blue19
56514.4
68875.3
95228.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72100204060801001206019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.1
39.739.6
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
red by 31.4
9522
#31
8.80.2
7.67.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Second
6705
#17
13.40.1
12.212.1
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
red by 8.1
6887
#38
5.30.2
4.84.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
Third
5848
#35
5.80.2
6.05.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
red by 1.4
5651
#33
4.40.2
4.24.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed