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Red18
381512.4
44596.8
85775.3
Blue96
445125.6
141419.1
590012.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206604060801001896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#13
12.40.4
11.911.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 13.2
25.60.4
24.925.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
4459
#21
6.80.4
7.26.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 12.3
19.10.5
17.417.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Third
8577
#27
5.30.4
4.23.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 7.3
5900
#14
12.60.4
12.212.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned