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Red80
402613.9
745123.9
418824.6
Blue26
886611.2
671210.9
95007.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692504060801001208026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.2
23.324.5
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
red by 13.4
8866
#16
11.20.1
10.710.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Second
23.91.2
22.623.8
Auto12.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 13.0
6712
#19
10.90.1
11.010.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Third
4026
#10
13.91.2
10.912.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 6.4
9500
#24
7.60.1
5.95.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed