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Red49
164814.2
97707.1
8327.7
Blue70
88657.6
634021.7
45163.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28320102040506070804970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#15
14.20.9
12.813.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 7.5
21.70.8
19.119.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End0.5
Second
832
#20
7.70.9
6.87.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End0.7
red by 0.1
8865
#29
7.60.8
6.77.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Third
9770
#34
7.10.9
6.27.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.1
red by 3.7
4516
#32
3.40.8
2.63.4
Auto1.6
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned