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Red68
808014.7
926017.2
529317.3
Blue60
81008.7
297440.2
87615.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50602040801001206860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.8
16.317.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
blue by 22.8
40.20.5
39.640.1
Auto14.2
Teleop25.1
End0.9
Second
9260
#18
17.21.0
16.217.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 8.5
8100
#22
8.70.5
8.28.7
Auto1.4
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
14.70.8
13.614.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 9.2
8761
#36
5.50.5
5.05.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed