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Red26
381512.4
10024.6
68875.3
Blue55
95228.8
510914.6
141419.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194804060801002655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#13
12.40.4
11.511.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 6.7
19.11.1
17.919.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Second
6887
#38
5.30.4
4.95.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.2
blue by 9.4
14.61.0
14.015.0
Auto3.0
Teleop11.0
End0.6
Third
1002
#37
4.60.4
4.24.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 4.2
9522
#31
8.81.0
7.88.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed