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Red45
694410.5
85775.3
670513.4
Blue10
90574.5
95825.9
17954.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2918010405060704510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#17
13.41.3
12.113.4
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
red by 7.5
9582
#30
5.90.8
6.75.9
Auto0.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Second
6944
#11
10.51.3
9.210.5
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7
red by 6.0
1795
#23
4.50.8
5.34.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Third
8577
#27
5.31.3
3.95.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 0.8
9057
#25
4.50.8
5.34.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed