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Red23
58485.8
363512.6
56514.4
Blue59
445125.6
30917.7
418910.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215004060802359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#12
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 13.0
25.60.7
25.326.0
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
5848
#35
5.80.0
5.85.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
4189
#26
10.10.7
9.810.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.0
Third
5651
#33
4.40.0
4.44.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 3.3
3091
#28
7.70.7
6.87.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed