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Red44
926017.2
590012.6
670513.4
Blue47
141419.1
418824.6
85775.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655203040607080901004447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#18
17.20.0
17.117.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End1.7
blue by 7.4
24.60.2
24.624.5
Auto9.6
Teleop13.9
End1.1
Second
6705
#17
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End0.9
blue by 5.7
19.10.2
19.119.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Third
5900
#14
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 7.3
8577
#27
5.30.2
5.35.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End0.6