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Red55
381512.4
164814.2
886611.2
Blue41
694410.5
671210.9
363512.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423702060801005541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#15
14.20.4
14.014.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 1.6
3635
#12
12.60.0
12.512.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Second
3815
#13
12.40.4
12.212.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.1
End0.4
red by 1.5
6712
#19
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Third
8866
#16
11.20.4
11.011.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 0.6
6944
#11
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.7