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Red41
692521.9
411222.9
884917.2
Blue87
141428.9
34215.2
450929.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001201404187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#31
22.90.5
15.715.2
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
blue by 6.4
4509
#13
29.30.5
27.027.5
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
6925
#29
21.90.5
19.819.3
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 7.0
28.90.5
24.224.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
8849
#10
17.20.5
12.612.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 2.0
342
#47
15.20.5
17.718.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned