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Red47
692521.9
510918.1
947712.6
Blue86
691929.7
873615.3
28122.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48720204060801001201401604786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#29
21.90.1
19.319.4
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 7.8
29.71.2
27.829.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
Second
5109
#34
18.10.1
14.514.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 4.1
281
#26
22.21.2
20.521.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Third
9477
#32
12.60.1
12.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 2.7
8736
#43
15.31.2
13.915.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed