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Red54
753815.2
126135.6
381512.1
Blue64
857522.6
281516.5
85778.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8236020601001201405464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#11
35.61.3
39.638.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 13.0
8575
#14
22.61.7
16.318.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Second
7538
#42
15.21.3
17.015.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 1.2
2815
#37
16.51.7
16.918.6
Auto10.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Third
3815
#46
12.11.3
12.010.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 4.1
8577
#49
8.01.7
4.96.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed