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Red40
71049.8
381512.1
948017.4
Blue77
95718.8
241523.6
692521.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345502040801001204077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9480
#24
17.40.2
13.313.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
blue by 6.2
2415
#19
23.61.3
18.219.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Second
3815
#46
12.10.2
10.710.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 9.8
6925
#29
21.91.3
19.420.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
7104
#45
9.80.2
9.39.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
red by 1.0
9571
#38
8.81.3
9.911.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsEarned