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Red45
753815.2
110227.7
85778.0
Blue113
402622.0
168330.7
141428.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5076020406010012014045113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#17
27.70.2
25.925.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 3.0
1683
#12
30.71.2
23.825.0
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
Second
7538
#42
15.20.2
15.715.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
blue by 13.7
28.91.2
26.027.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
8577
#49
8.00.2
6.66.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 14.1
4026
#25
22.01.2
15.516.7
Auto7.4
Teleop13.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed