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Red67
445125.6
857522.6
411222.9
Blue72
636627.8
634028.1
164821.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64712040801001201406772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#16
25.60.2
25.525.7
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
blue by 2.4
28.10.6
22.623.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Second
4112
#31
22.90.2
15.515.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
blue by 4.8
27.80.6
26.727.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Third
8575
#14
22.60.2
18.018.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 1.3
1648
#23
21.30.6
14.415.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed