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Red107
177151.4
349015.9
363523.6
Blue42
510918.1
174618.2
128724.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9044020608010012014016010742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.41.4
42.243.6
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 27.3
24.10.2
17.717.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Second
3635
#27
23.61.4
16.918.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
red by 5.4
1746
#40
18.20.2
12.912.7
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Third
3490
#44
15.91.4
17.118.5
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 2.2
5109
#34
18.10.2
14.514.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed