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Red26
947712.6
47016.3
34215.2
Blue60
950015.0
348920.9
332913.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41423035455055602660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#47
15.20.7
15.915.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
blue by 5.7
3489
#36
20.91.5
18.019.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Second
9477
#32
12.60.7
12.411.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 2.4
9500
#20
15.01.5
8.910.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
4701
#50
6.30.7
8.88.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 7.0
3329
#28
13.31.5
10.812.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed