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Red74
745127.8
873615.3
450929.3
Blue73
926017.7
590015.6
126135.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7676607080907473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#13
29.30.4
28.228.6
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
blue by 6.2
1261
#11
35.60.1
36.035.9
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Second
27.80.4
24.224.6
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
red by 10.1
9260
#41
17.70.1
20.920.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Third
8736
#43
15.30.4
15.215.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
blue by 0.3
5900
#30
15.60.1
13.113.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed