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Red71
34335.1
168330.7
857522.6
Blue104
177151.4
445125.6
510918.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789520406012014016071104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#22
35.10.1
29.429.3
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End5.6
blue by 16.3
51.41.4
43.645.0
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
Second
1683
#12
30.70.1
25.024.9
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
red by 5.0
4451
#16
25.61.4
25.727.0
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Third
8575
#14
22.60.1
18.218.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 4.5
5109
#34
18.11.4
14.315.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed