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Red40
95718.8
85778.0
174618.2
Blue66
128724.1
636627.8
691929.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259204060801001201401604066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#40
18.20.7
12.713.3
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
blue by 11.5
29.71.0
30.729.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
Second
9571
#38
8.80.7
11.211.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 19.0
27.81.0
27.226.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Third
8577
#49
8.00.7
6.47.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 16.1
24.11.0
17.516.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed