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Red50
857522.6
71049.8
634028.1
Blue45
85778.0
34335.1
947712.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5250354045556065705045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
21.722.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
blue by 7.0
343
#22
35.10.4
28.227.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End5.6
Second
8575
#14
22.60.3
16.016.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
red by 10.0
9477
#32
12.60.4
12.812.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
7104
#45
9.80.3
8.28.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
red by 1.8
8577
#49
8.00.4
5.34.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed