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Red52
510918.1
808016.1
168330.7
Blue50
745127.8
174618.2
241523.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58613040507080905250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#12
30.70.2
23.423.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
red by 2.9
27.80.3
23.923.5
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
Second
5109
#34
18.10.2
14.614.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 5.5
2415
#19
23.60.3
17.717.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Third
8080
#15
16.10.2
14.714.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 2.1
1746
#40
18.20.3
13.313.0
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed