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Red77
177151.4
590015.6
529320.5
Blue38
952210.6
950015.0
682915.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions882604060801001201401607738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.4
42.442.0
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 36.1
6829
#21
15.30.4
14.915.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Second
5293
#18
20.50.4
17.317.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
red by 5.5
9500
#20
15.00.4
7.68.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
5900
#30
15.60.4
12.612.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 5.0
9522
#48
10.60.4
8.89.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed