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Red45
85778.0
363523.6
47016.3
Blue80
808016.1
692521.9
445125.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318002040601001201404580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#27
23.60.6
19.019.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 2.0
4451
#16
25.60.3
27.027.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
8577
#49
8.00.6
7.07.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 14.0
6925
#29
21.90.3
21.421.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Third
4701
#50
6.30.6
7.98.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 9.8
8080
#15
16.10.3
17.818.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned