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Red71
950015.0
745127.8
857522.6
Blue64
348920.9
241523.6
411222.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626040507080901007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.0
26.027.0
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
red by 4.2
2415
#19
23.60.6
18.819.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Second
8575
#14
22.61.0
18.119.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 0.3
4112
#31
22.90.6
16.717.3
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Third
9500
#20
15.01.0
11.812.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 5.9
3489
#36
20.90.6
19.319.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed