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Red115
126135.6
297446.3
634028.1
Blue34
381512.1
349015.9
636627.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12350010015011534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.8
43.544.3
Auto13.9
Teleop32.0
End0.4
red by 18.5
27.81.7
26.624.9
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Second
1261
#11
35.60.8
35.236.0
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 19.6
3490
#44
15.91.7
17.816.1
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
28.10.8
24.024.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 16.0
3815
#46
12.11.7
9.57.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed