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Red102
168330.7
177151.4
28122.2
Blue41
332913.3
948017.4
95718.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1162805010015020010241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.5
45.646.2
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 34.0
9480
#24
17.40.3
12.012.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Second
1683
#12
30.70.5
26.326.8
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
red by 17.4
3329
#28
13.30.3
13.013.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
281
#26
22.20.5
22.222.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
red by 13.4
9571
#38
8.80.3
10.811.1
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed