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Red56
952210.6
88657.9
450929.3
Blue62
808016.1
85778.0
453325.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535435404550606570755662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#13
29.30.3
29.829.5
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 3.6
25.80.9
24.825.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
Second
9522
#48
10.60.3
10.510.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.8
blue by 5.5
8080
#15
16.10.9
16.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
8865
#39
7.90.3
8.07.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 0.1
8577
#49
8.00.9
6.77.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed