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Red73
128724.1
950015.0
411222.9
Blue71
348920.9
691929.7
281516.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507702040601001201407371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.7
18.019.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End1.7
blue by 5.6
29.70.3
29.128.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
Second
4112
#31
22.91.7
17.318.9
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
red by 2.0
3489
#36
20.90.3
19.919.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Third
9500
#20
15.01.7
12.814.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 1.5
2815
#37
16.50.3
17.116.8
Auto10.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned