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Red75
510918.1
28122.2
332913.3
Blue85
85778.0
636627.8
297446.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5289204060801001201407585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#26
22.20.2
22.723.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
blue by 24.1
46.30.3
43.243.5
Auto13.9
Teleop32.0
End0.4
Second
5109
#34
18.10.2
15.615.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 9.7
27.80.3
24.925.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Third
3329
#28
13.30.2
13.413.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 5.3
8577
#49
8.00.3
7.67.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed