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Red67
348920.9
450929.3
381512.1
Blue101
873615.3
164821.3
177151.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5890020408010012014067101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#13
29.30.7
26.927.6
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
blue by 22.1
51.40.9
46.247.0
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
Second
3489
#36
20.90.7
19.520.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
blue by 0.4
1648
#23
21.30.9
17.118.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
3815
#46
12.10.7
9.510.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 3.2
8736
#43
15.30.9
14.315.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned