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Red97
884917.2
126135.6
513020.0
Blue69
174618.2
529320.5
692521.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7955020401001209769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#11
35.61.7
34.336.0
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 13.6
6925
#29
21.91.1
19.720.8
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Second
5130
#35
20.01.7
19.821.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 0.5
5293
#18
20.51.1
19.620.7
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Third
8849
#10
17.21.7
14.916.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End2.2
blue by 1.0
1746
#40
18.21.1
13.414.5
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed