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Red94
110227.7
510918.1
34335.1
Blue65
363523.6
381512.1
950015.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8542020601001201409465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#22
35.11.5
29.330.9
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End5.6
red by 11.5
3635
#27
23.61.5
19.220.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Second
1102
#17
27.71.5
26.327.8
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 12.6
9500
#20
15.01.5
13.414.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Third
5109
#34
18.11.5
15.817.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 6.0
3815
#46
12.11.5
10.211.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed