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Red63
453325.8
95718.8
691929.7
Blue61
873615.3
445125.6
952210.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74572040801001201406361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.1
29.329.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
red by 4.0
4451
#16
25.60.3
28.028.3
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
25.80.1
24.124.0
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
red by 10.4
8736
#43
15.30.3
15.215.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
Third
9571
#38
8.80.1
11.711.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 1.8
9522
#48
10.60.3
10.711.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed