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Red77
590015.6
682915.3
348920.9
Blue20
418821.1
85778.0
88657.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6038020801001207720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#36
20.90.0
20.320.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
blue by 0.2
4188
#33
21.11.1
20.419.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Second
5900
#30
15.60.0
14.014.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 7.6
8577
#49
8.01.1
7.96.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Third
6829
#21
15.30.0
17.317.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 7.4
8865
#39
7.91.1
8.97.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed