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Red60
948017.4
110227.7
241523.6
Blue112
174618.2
411222.9
126135.6
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687805010015060112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#17
27.70.3
27.827.5
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 7.9
1261
#11
35.61.5
36.037.5
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
Second
2415
#19
23.60.3
21.621.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 0.6
4112
#31
22.91.5
19.120.6
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Third
9480
#24
17.40.3
13.413.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
blue by 0.8
1746
#40
18.21.5
14.516.0
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned