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Red61
281516.5
634028.1
332913.3
Blue67
884917.2
363523.6
745127.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61702040801001206167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.1
25.125.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 0.3
27.80.4
25.324.9
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
Second
2815
#37
16.50.1
17.317.2
Auto10.4
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 7.1
3635
#27
23.60.4
20.720.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
3329
#28
13.30.1
13.613.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.1
End1.4
blue by 3.9
8849
#10
17.20.4
16.616.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned