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Red61
349015.9
529320.5
348920.9
Blue65
28122.2
753815.2
450929.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617720401001206165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#36
20.90.2
20.320.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
blue by 8.4
4509
#13
29.30.2
29.929.8
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
5293
#18
20.50.2
20.720.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 1.7
281
#26
22.20.2
23.022.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Third
3490
#44
15.90.2
16.316.5
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 0.7
7538
#42
15.20.2
14.614.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed